TOPEKA, Kan. (WIBW) – The big weather story is the heat that will continue today and tomorrow, in fact a heat advisory (when heat indices are expected to be above 105° for a prolonged period of time) is in effect for Saturday afternoon for areas mainly southeast of the turnpike although may be expanded tomorrow. The other weather story is the severe weather risks this evening and tomorrow afternoon/evening with hail and wind threat primary threat as the tornado threat is very low but not impossible.
Today early morning clouds will continue to clear out from last evening’s storms giving way to plenty of sun and highs back in the mid 90s similar to yesterday. Winds SW/S 5-10 mph.
Tonight there is a conditional threat for storms in the area this evening with uncertainty on how widespread it will be so stay updated with the latest forecast throughout the day. The atmosphere will be very unstable so if a storm does develop or move down from Nebraska which has a better risk for storms it will have a chance of being severe. Large hail is the main threat with damaging winds a secondary threat. While an isolated storm may still occur after midnight, severe weather would not be expected. Lows will be in the low-mid 70s.
Tomorrow highs in the mid 90s once again with mostly sunny skies. While exact timing of storms is still uncertain right now think anytime after 3pm storms my develop with better chances as the afternoon and evening progress. The overall coverage of (severe) storms is uncertain but there is higher confidence that after midnight after the front moves through and the atmosphere is more stable showers with embedded thunderstorms will become more widespread. With that said it is quite possible we may avoid severe weather altogether and the storms that develop will be non-severe so be aware of the latest forecast and we’ll have a better idea tomorrow morning with what to expect.
Sunday for Father’s Day while a stray shower or two is still possible in the morning we will be dry and less humid with highs only in the low-mid 80s as clouds gradually clear.
Comfortable temperatures continue early next week with highs in the 80s before warming into the 90s by the 2nd half of the work week. Humidity will also begin to increase Tuesday for a humid Wednesday-Friday although may not be quite as humid as what it was this week. As for storm chances they don’t look to impressive with Tuesday night being the best chance for storms so will keep the lightning icon in the 8 day on Tuesday but easily could linger into Wednesday morning so will monitor that trend as well.